2005-10-13

Any hope for Iraq?

Paul McGeough from the Sydney Morning Herald doesn't think so.

The debate among analysts is not so much about when the Iraq civil war will start, as much as whether it has started. I have always thought that with 20-plus per cent of the world's oil, Iraqis are destined to have a great and prosperous future - but sadly, I don't see it eventuating this side of a full-blown civil war.

...

Now, Saudi diplomats are traipsing to Washington, warning any who will listen that their volatile neighbour - Iraq - is hurtling towards disintegration. The Riyadh analysis is that the entire region could now be dragged into war because, as the Foreign Minister, Prince Saud al-Faisal, put it last week: "No dynamic is pulling the nation together - all are pulling the country apart."

6 comments:

Craig Schwarze said...

Paul McGeough has been predicting civil war in Iraq for about 2 years -

http://timblair.net/ee/index.php/weblog/war_predicted/

I think he is trying to will it to happen...

Neil Cameron (One Salient Oversight) said...

Last time I looked, McGeough spent a lot of time in Iraq reporting from there. He also won some award for his journalism there too.

Is Tim Blair in Iraq? Does he know something that McGeough doesn't?

Anonymous said...

He may have spent a lot of time in Iraq but that still makes him a reporter who spent a lot of time in Iraq, not an expert on the geo-politics of the entire middle east. Time will prove him right or wrong, what has he been saying the last couple of years? didn't he also report that the Iraqi Present Illawi (sic) had murdered people in cold blood only to find that report completly unsubstantiated.

Craig Schwarze said...

My point was that McGeough predicting civil war in Iraq is nothing new.

Guambat Stew said...

http://guambatstew.blogspot.com/2005/10/how-de-fox-cotch-da-crusader-rabbit.html

Craig Schwarze said...

OSO, I would really be interested to hear your opinions on this -

http://iraqthemodel.blogspot.com/