The debate among analysts is not so much about when the Iraq civil war will start, as much as whether it has started. I have always thought that with 20-plus per cent of the world's oil, Iraqis are destined to have a great and prosperous future - but sadly, I don't see it eventuating this side of a full-blown civil war.
Now, Saudi diplomats are traipsing to Washington, warning any who will listen that their volatile neighbour - Iraq - is hurtling towards disintegration. The Riyadh analysis is that the entire region could now be dragged into war because, as the Foreign Minister, Prince Saud al-Faisal, put it last week: "No dynamic is pulling the nation together - all are pulling the country apart."
Any hope for Iraq?
Paul McGeough from the Sydney Morning Herald doesn't think so.