Preliminary US Recession Indicators - May 2011

AMBNS

2010-04-01 2037.571
2011-03-01 2418.200
2011-04-01 2523.330

EXCRESNS

2010-04-01 2037.571
2011-03-01 2418.200
2011-04-01 1452.131

Net Monetary Base (AMBNS minus EXCRESNS)

2010-04-01 987.344
2011-03-01 1055.515
2011-04-01 1071.199

CPIAUCSL (Inflation index)

2010-04-01 217.625
2011-03-01 223.490

Inflation warning zone (month on month decline in index)

2011-04-01 226.813 - 4.2% inflation

Recession zone (year on year decline in index)

2011-04-01 226.130 - 8.5% inflation