tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14237465.post6655866984884815999..comments2024-03-22T19:12:22.089+11:00Comments on One Salient Oversight: Newpoll - is it reliable?Neil Cameron (One Salient Oversight)http://www.blogger.com/profile/03143948543305522865noreply@blogger.comBlogger1125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-14237465.post-19050030890644992007-11-23T16:36:00.000+11:002007-11-23T16:36:00.000+11:00These polls all depend on who they ask and what qu...These polls all depend on who they ask and what questions they ask. back in 1992 I did some door knock surveys. Very difficult to ask some of the questions - thinking of financial institutions what types spring to mind - oh do you mean banks - I was seeking a response of credit unions - no one ever got that. <BR/><BR/>I answered an election phone recently - obviously directed at bennelong voters. The questions were complex - very unclear (did I consider interest rates an issue) - and some sounded like they were repeated but there was a variation - obviously to see if one gave the same answer. The last was who did I think was going to win. Now that is a loaded question. Will it be the basis of declaring someone the winner. based on Polls I'd be saying Labour and up comes the big margin.<BR/><BR/>the West Wing TV show although USA was certainly interesting on how Polls can be used.<BR/><BR/>The poll that counts is tomorrow.<BR/><BR/>Psst<BR/>Sky News on web as we speak:<BR/>Who has the best vision for Australia's future?<BR/>John Howard 57%<BR/>Kevin Rudd 43%<BR/><BR/>Around 10am I was talking on the phone and watching Sky on TV 60-40 and I saw it change to 61-39. Now 420 and Rudd is polling better. Whoops as I finish writing it is John 56% and Kev 44%.<BR/><BR/>So which Poll do you want to take.Ronhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01898855599160925012noreply@blogger.com